Finding winners at Royal Ascot
The Royal Ascot meeting in June brings together the best horses from the United KIngdom and Ireland with some from further afield such as Australia. This is the Olympics of horse racing where the cream always rises to the top as far as the best horses are concerned. There is always up and coming horses who come out of the woodwork to make their mark on the carnival. Finding winners can be tough but successful punters will be well rewarded with some good odds. So just how do you find winners at Royal Ascot?
First and four most, it is important to concentrate on form as most of the winners at Royal Ascot are those horses who finished first or second last time out. It is not as simple as just going for last race winners and seconds however as over half of the runners in many races at Royal Ascot finished in the first two last time out. Therefore it is important to consider the odds. It is a fact that most of the winners will be among the top three or better in the betting which just goes to show that the market is usually on the money as far as the favourites are concerned.
Another factor to consider is class and if you are prepared to do a little homework then you may be able to spot some winners who are well placed as far as what they have done in the past. Most of the races are group and listed races. Group 1 is the highest grade of race followed by group 2, 3, and then listed. A last race group 1 winner should be preferred over a group 2 or group 3 winner.
It is important to remember that current season’s form is preferable when assessing chances because a horse who was good enough to win a good race the previous season may not reach the same class during the present season or may have reached its limit where it is up against better class horses which it is unable to win against.
Another factor is the win rate of the horse. If it has won at least 33% of its career starts then I would consider it but I would not automatically rule it out if its win rate is less than 33%.. I think if a horse is not winning for its connections then it is not going to do so for us.
These are just the basics of horse racing. If you stick close to the form horses, you will likely give yourself a better show of winning. I have had some good results in the past at Royal Ascot using these principles but do not always just take those that finished first if there is a strong reason for doing otherwise. Special note has to be taken of horses who last raced in a group one field and now has dropped to an easier race, say group 2, 3 or listed because such a horse may have a winning formline in races which are not group one. Coronet was one such horse two or three years ago. She had dropped back to a group 2 race after running in group 1 and her previous record had shown that she had never been beaten at races lower than group 1 level so I backed her and she won at 9/1. She recently got beaten at the 2019 Chester meeting which was the first time she had been beaten at a race lower than group one.
Hopefully the ideas here will give you some food for thought on finding a winner or two at Royal Ascot.